The tariff war changed the forecast. For 2025-26, Ottawa expects import duties of $10.1 billion. That is up 61.4% in one year.

Checked 2026-10-19. Each record says what the source can and cannot show.

What this covers

Place: Canada (federal)
Time covered: Forecast published in the 2026 Spring Economic Update

A forecast, not a final count. It is net of money Ottawa plans to hand back. Trade policy can still change it.

Department of Finance Canada · 2026

Where to look: Revenue outlook: customs import duties forecast to rise 61.4% to $10.1 billion in 2025-26, net of remissions

No fact has changed in this version. If we fix a claim, we will add the date and explain the change here and in our list of fixes.

WAKE UP CANADA

Help more people see the facts and the plan.

What this does not show: A forecast, not a final count. It is net of money Ottawa plans to hand back. Trade policy can still change it.

Link to this page

No account needed. Sharing does not sign you up for email.

If the image opens in a new tab, press and hold it or use your browser’s save tool.

Sources and notes